Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.9%
Karlsruhe
21.5%
Draw
55.6%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Karlsruhe
vs
2.27
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS69.0%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.550.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.1%
1-1
8.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-2
6.5%
0-2
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
2-3
4.9%
0-1
4.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.9%
0-0
3.3%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).