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06 Dec 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.1%
Aldershot
23.8%
Draw
28.1%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.91

Aldershot

vs
1.43

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS65.6%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.564.8%
Over 3.542.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
1-0
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
4.4%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).