Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Dag and Red
27.3%
Draw
26.7%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Dag and Red
vs
1.13
Sutton
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
7.9%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).