Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.5%
Amorebieta
30.2%
Draw
17.3%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Amorebieta
vs
0.57
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS30.4%
Over 0.583.4%
Over 1.553.3%
Over 2.526.7%
Over 3.510.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.6%
0-0
16.6%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
0-2
2.7%
2-2
2.0%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).