Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.4%
Gateshead
18.5%
Draw
72.1%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Gateshead
vs
2.29
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.9%
0-1
10.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.8%
1-3
7.1%
0-4
5.6%
0-0
5.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-2
3.4%
2-1
2.9%
1-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).