Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.0%
Burgos
29.1%
Draw
26.9%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Burgos
vs
0.88
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
12.1%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).