Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.6%
Bourne Town
33.8%
Draw
26.6%
Shepshed Dynamo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Bourne Town
vs
0.70
Shepshed Dynamo
Markets
BTTS30.1%
Over 0.580.8%
Over 1.548.1%
Over 2.522.5%
Over 3.58.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.2%
1-0
18.6%
0-1
14.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
5.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
3-0
2.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
0-3
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).