Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Pau FC
20.9%
Draw
53.5%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Pau FC
vs
1.87
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS58.6%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
0-1
9.4%
0-2
8.0%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-3
5.0%
0-0
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
2-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).