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31 Aug 2025 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.3%
Espanol
26.7%
Draw
38.0%
Osasuna

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Espanol

vs
1.35

Osasuna

Markets

BTTS53.8%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
0-1
9.4%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.0%
0-0
7.5%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).