Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Nurnberg
26.3%
Draw
22.8%
Ulm
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Nurnberg
vs
1.06
Ulm
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-0
5.1%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).