Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.1%
Stoke
25.7%
Draw
60.2%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Stoke
vs
1.67
Leeds
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
0-2
13.3%
1-1
11.8%
0-0
10.5%
1-2
9.0%
0-3
7.4%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.0%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
3.1%
0-4
3.1%
2-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).