Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.8%
Southampton
28.2%
Draw
34.9%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Southampton
vs
1.41
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS59.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
0-0
7.3%
1-0
6.7%
0-1
6.4%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).