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01 Oct 2022 · 17:20

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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81.5%
Boreham Wood
12.3%
Draw
6.2%
Maidstone

Expected Goals (xG)

3.07

Boreham Wood

vs
0.81

Maidstone

Markets

BTTS53.3%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.574.3%
Over 3.554.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
10.0%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
4-0
7.7%
4-1
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
1-1
5.6%
5-0
4.7%
5-1
3.8%
3-2
3.3%
2-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).