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22 Mar 2026 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.9%
Waregem
24.1%
Draw
42.0%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.51

Waregem

vs
1.70

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS64.0%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.6%
0-0
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).