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AHT: 02

04 Apr 2025 · 19:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.5%
AVS
18.4%
Draw
69.1%
Estoril

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

AVS

vs
2.39

Estoril

Markets

BTTS55.7%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
1-1
8.5%
0-3
8.2%
0-1
8.1%
1-3
7.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
0-0
4.1%
2-1
3.8%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).