Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Crawley Town
23.5%
Draw
30.5%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Crawley Town
vs
1.17
Wigan
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
9.1%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).