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DHT: 10CSV

19 Aug 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.7%
Halifax
22.2%
Draw
15.1%
Oxford City

Expected Goals (xG)

2.03

Halifax

vs
0.90

Oxford City

Markets

BTTS52.5%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.0%
1-1
10.6%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).