Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.1%
Ath Madrid
22.7%
Draw
13.2%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Ath Madrid
vs
0.67
Eibar
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
2-0
13.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.7%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.5%
4-0
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).