Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.2%
Sociedad
25.4%
Draw
25.4%
Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Sociedad
vs
1.11
Ath Bilbao
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).