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15 Feb 2026 · 20:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.7%
Bromsgrove Sporting
20.0%
Draw
7.3%
Famalicao

Expected Goals (xG)

1.98

Bromsgrove Sporting

vs
0.48

Famalicao

Markets

BTTS33.5%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
16.8%
1-0
16.3%
3-0
11.1%
0-0
9.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
4-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-0
2.2%
1-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).