Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
Hatayspor
28.9%
Draw
29.8%
Kayserispor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Hatayspor
vs
1.43
Kayserispor
Markets
BTTS64.7%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.6%
0-0
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.1%
1-0
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
0-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).