Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.5%
Mainz
30.1%
Draw
18.4%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Mainz
vs
0.70
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.5%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
11.7%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
8.1%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
0-2
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).