Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.7%
Cartagena
23.2%
Draw
50.2%
Cordoba
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Cartagena
vs
1.76
Cordoba
Markets
BTTS58.4%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
0-0
4.9%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).