Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.9%
Birmingham
25.7%
Draw
27.4%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Birmingham
vs
1.26
Leicester
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).