Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Malaga
28.5%
Draw
27.8%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Malaga
vs
0.93
Eibar
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
10.7%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).