Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.4%
Fleetwood Town
23.4%
Draw
20.2%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Fleetwood Town
vs
0.88
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).