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16 Nov 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.9%
Dumbarton
23.2%
Draw
45.8%
Queen of Sth

Expected Goals (xG)

1.55

Dumbarton

vs
1.92

Queen of Sth

Markets

BTTS67.9%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.2%
2-2
6.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.7%
0-1
5.3%
2-3
4.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
0-0
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).