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DHT: 02CSV

10 Nov 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.9%
Cordoba
21.7%
Draw
42.4%
Castellon

Expected Goals (xG)

1.71

Cordoba

vs
1.87

Castellon

Markets

BTTS69.3%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.569.5%
Over 3.548.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
0-1
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
3-2
4.1%
2-0
4.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).