Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Fuenlabrada
26.9%
Draw
38.3%
Numancia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Fuenlabrada
vs
1.28
Numancia
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).