Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.7%
Parma
11.4%
Draw
3.9%
Lecco
Expected Goals (xG)
2.95
Parma
vs
0.56
Lecco
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.568.0%
Over 3.546.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.1%
3-0
12.8%
4-0
9.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
5-0
5.6%
1-1
5.4%
4-1
5.3%
0-0
3.5%
5-1
3.1%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).