Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.6%
Chesterfield
20.0%
Draw
13.3%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Chesterfield
vs
0.71
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
2-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
8.5%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
5.5%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).