Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.8%
Alessandria
33.6%
Draw
33.6%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Alessandria
vs
1.00
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.532.1%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.0%
1-1
14.9%
0-1
12.4%
1-0
12.2%
0-2
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).