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04 Aug 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.0%
Inter
27.8%
Draw
33.2%
Yverdon Sport

Expected Goals (xG)

1.60

Inter

vs
1.47

Yverdon Sport

Markets

BTTS63.3%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.0%
1-0
5.5%
0-2
5.0%
0-1
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).