Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.6%
Millwall
24.9%
Draw
19.5%
Queens Park Rangers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Millwall
vs
0.98
Queens Park Rangers
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
0-1
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).