Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Pau FC
21.8%
Draw
33.5%
Boulogne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Pau FC
vs
1.43
Boulogne
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.537.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
3-2
3.6%
0-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).