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16 Aug 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.3%
Leyton Orient
24.3%
Draw
40.4%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Leyton Orient

vs
1.35

Stockport

Markets

BTTS51.6%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
0-1
11.2%
1-0
10.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
0-0
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).