Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Hatayspor
29.5%
Draw
41.7%
Samsunspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Hatayspor
vs
1.65
Samsunspor
Markets
BTTS62.8%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
5.4%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.5%
1-0
3.9%
0-3
3.7%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).