Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Newport County
24.8%
Draw
32.0%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Newport County
vs
1.20
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).