Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.3%
Aris
23.3%
Draw
27.4%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Aris
vs
1.14
Lens
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).