Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.4%
Tenerife
33.0%
Draw
44.5%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Tenerife
vs
1.04
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS30.5%
Over 0.581.5%
Over 1.550.0%
Over 2.523.8%
Over 3.59.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.5%
0-0
18.5%
1-1
12.3%
1-0
12.1%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
6.5%
2-1
4.0%
2-0
3.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-2
2.1%
0-4
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).