Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.1%
Staveley MW
28.0%
Draw
56.8%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53
Staveley MW
vs
1.33
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS29.8%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.554.9%
Over 2.528.4%
Over 3.511.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
21.1%
0-0
15.3%
0-2
13.8%
1-1
10.6%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-1
2.9%
2-0
2.2%
0-4
2.0%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).