Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.6%
St Johnstone
23.8%
Draw
14.6%
Arbroath
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
St Johnstone
vs
0.91
Arbroath
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.2%
3-0
7.3%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.7%
2-2
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.4%
0-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).