Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.2%
Malmö FF
23.8%
Draw
30.0%
Sirius
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Malmö FF
vs
1.55
Sirius
Markets
BTTS68.6%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.568.0%
Over 3.546.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
1-0
4.9%
3-2
4.5%
0-0
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
0-1
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).