Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.8%
Nice
16.8%
Draw
15.4%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
2.54
Nice
vs
1.15
Metz
Markets
BTTS62.7%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.571.3%
Over 3.550.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.1%
3-0
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
4-1
5.0%
3-2
4.5%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
0-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).