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13 Aug 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.3%
Rotherham
30.0%
Draw
39.7%
Reading

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Rotherham

vs
1.26

Reading

Markets

BTTS47.8%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
10.8%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).