Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.6%
Bristol City
23.1%
Draw
13.3%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Bristol City
vs
0.74
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.1%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.7%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).