Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.8%
Ingolstadt
25.5%
Draw
50.7%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Ingolstadt
vs
1.77
Dresden
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
8.4%
0-2
8.4%
0-0
6.4%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
1-0
5.1%
0-3
5.0%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).