Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.4%
Burton
25.6%
Draw
44.0%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Burton
vs
1.31
Stockport
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.3%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).