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AHT: 12CSV

18 Apr 2021 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.9%
Kortrijk
26.1%
Draw
45.9%
Mechelen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Kortrijk

vs
1.59

Mechelen

Markets

BTTS56.3%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
9.1%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).