Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.5%
Perugia
25.9%
Draw
54.6%
Venezia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Perugia
vs
1.73
Venezia
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-1
10.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.0%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.1%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).